Theme 2 Parallel Sessions Agenda

Wednesday, 17 March 2010

2.1. Observations of Arctic Change

9:35 am	Observing the State of Arctic Sea Ice Son V. Nghiem, California Institute of Technology Download PDF (1.61 MB)
9:50 am	Pan-Arctic Sea-Ice Mass-Balance Observations: Status and Challenges Christian Haas, University of Alberta Download PDF (3.07 MB)
10:05 am	Trends and Patterns in Sea Ice Age Distributions Within the Arctic Basin and Their Implications for Changes in Ice Thickness and Albedo Mark A. Tschudi, University of Colorado Download PDF (3.16 MB)
10:20 am	Fate of Early-2000s Arctic Warm Water Pulse Igor V. Polyakov, University of Alaska Fairbanks Download PDF (2.73 MB)
10:35 am	Analysis of the Arctic System for Freshwater Cycle Intensification: Observations and Expectations Michael A. Rawlins, Dartmouth College Download PDF (1.47 MB)
10:50 am	BREAK Presentation PDF Not Available
11:00 am	Davis Strait Transport and Freshwater Fluxes Craig M. Lee, University of Washington Download PDF (2.51 MB)
11:15 am	Patterns and Possible Drivers of Rapid Glacier Change Around Greenland Mark Fahnestock, Complex Systems Research Center, UNH Download PDF (3.64 MB)
11:30 am	Fifty Years of Glacier-Climate Research on McCall Glacier, Arctic Alaska Matt Nolan, University of Alaska Fairbanks Download PDF (2.26 MB)
11:45 am	Mapping of the Growing Season on Svalbard Based on Satellite Data for the 1985 to 2009 Period Rune Storvold, Northern Research Institute Tromsø Download PDF (3.33 MB)
12:00 pm	Extreme Warming and Ecosystem Collapse in the Canadian High Arctic Warwick F. Vincent, Laval University Download PDF (3.59 MB)
12:15 pm	Tracking Trends in Arctic Wildlife: The Arctic Species Trend Index Michael Gill, Circumpolar Biodiversity Monitoring Program Download PDF (2.55 MB)
12:30 pm	A Century of Humans in the Arctic: Population of the Northern Regions During the International Polar Years Timothy E. Heleniak, University of Maryland Download PDF (5.19 MB)
12:45 pm	Session Adjourns Presentation PDF Not Available

2.2. Design and Optimization of an Integrated Arctic Observing System

9:35 am	Introduction (Taneil Uttal and Hajo Eicken, Session Co-Chairs) Presentation PDF Not Available
9:40 am	The Space Component of an Integrated Arctic Observing System: Past, Present, and Future Jeff Key, NOAA/NESDIS Download PDF (3.23 MB)
10:00 am	Circumpolar Permafrost Monitoring with Satellite Data: The ESA DUE Permafrost Project Annett Bartsch, Vienna University of Technology Download PDF (1.66 MB)
10:20 am	Autonomous Platforms in the Arctic Observing Network Craig M. Lee, University of Washington Download PDF (2.5 MB)
10:40 am	BREAK Presentation PDF Not Available
11:00 am	Coordinating for Arctic Conservation: Towards Integrated Arctic Biodiversity Monitoring, Data Management, and Reporting Michael J. Gill, Environment Canada Download PDF (1.73 MB)
11:20 am	Approaches to Monitoring the Sub-Arctic Cecilie Mauritzen, Norwegian Meteorological Institute Download PDF (3.38 MB)
11:40 am	Linking Biology to Physics in an Arctic Ocean Observing System: Development of a Distributed Biological Observatory (DBO) in the Pacific Arctic Sue E. Moore, NOAA Download PDF (3.39 MB)
12:00 pm	Optimizing the Arctic Social Observation System With an Arctic System Model Matthew Berman, University of Alaska Anchorage Download PDF (1.99 MB)
12:20 pm	Discussion and Conclusions Presentation PDF Not Available
12:45 pm	Session Adjourns Presentation PDF Not Available

2.3. Arctic Change and Natural Variability

9:35 am	Welcome and Introduction Presentation PDF Not Available
9:40 am	Pleistocene Glacial Lake Ahtna, Alaska: Constraints on Lake Extent and Volume, and Relationships to Modern Glaciers Gregory J. Leonard, University of Arizona Download PDF (7.25 MB)
9:55 am	Timescales of Glacier Responses to Environmental Perturbations: What They Mean for the 21st Century Jeffrey S. Kargel, University of Arizona Download PDF (3.12 MB)
10:10 am	Pan-Svalbard Assessment of Climate Forcing and Ecosystem Variation: Decadal-scale Evidence from Bivalve Growth Rates Michael L. Carroll, Polar Environmental Center Download PDF (4.53 MB)
10:25 am	Natural Components of Climate Change During the Last Few Hundred Years Syun-Ichi Akasofu, University of Alaska Fairbanks Download PDF (1.34 MB)
10:40 am	Beaufort Sea Survey: Geographic and Historical Comparisons John Horne, University of Washington Download PDF (2.01 MB)
10:55 am	BREAK Presentation PDF Not Available
11:10 am	Two Decades of Long-Term Sediment Trap Studies Across the Arctic Ocean: Evidences for Change or Continuity? Alexandre Forest, Université du Québec Presentation PDF Not Available
11:25 am	Assessing the Contribution of Climate Change to the Arctic Methane Budget Colm Sweeney, NOAA/ESRL Download PDF (2.25 MB)
11:40 am	Five Years of Near-Surface Land Cover Reflectance in a Large Scale Hydrological Manipulation in an Arctic Tundra Landscape Santonu Goswami, University of Texas at El Paso Download PDF (2.15 MB)
11:55 am	Fire and Ice: Surprises in a Warming Arctic Land Surface Gaius R. Shaver, The Ecosystems Center Download PDF (2.55 MB)
12:10 pm	Characteristics of the Beaufort Sea High Mark C. Serreze, CIRES/National Snow and Ice Data Center Download PDF (1.77 MB)
12:25 pm	Discussion Presentation PDF Not Available
12:45 pm	Session Adjourns Presentation PDF Not Available

2.4. Understanding Arctic Change and Projection of Future States of the Arctic System

9:35 am	Introduction (co-chairs) Presentation PDF Not Available
9:40 am	Is the Loss of Perennial Arctic Sea Ice Reversible? Marika M. Holland, National Center for Atmospheric Research Download PDF (2.97 MB)
9:55 am	How Soon Will We See a Sea-Ice-Free Summer Arctic? Muyin Wang, University of Washington Download PDF (5.38 MB)
10:10 am	Increased Freshwater and Biogenic Fluxes: The Flip-side of Arctic Sea-ice Retreat Robert Newton, Columbia University Download PDF (2.43 MB)
10:25 am	Arctic Cloud Changes During Intervals of Rapid Sea Ice Loss Steve Vavrus, University of Wisconsin Download PDF (4.97 MB)
10:40 am	A Three-dimensional Characterization of Arctic Aerosols from Airborne Sun Photometer Observations: PAM-ARCMIP, April 2009 Robert S. Stone, CIRES/NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Download PDF (2.1 MB)
10:55 am	BREAK Presentation PDF Not Available
11:15 am	Observed and Projected Changes in Permafrost Thermal State in the Northern Hemisphere Sergey Marchenko, University of Alaska Fairbanks Download PDF (7.99 MB)
11:30 am	Quantifying Future Changes in High-Latitude Methane Emissions Under Regional Climate Change Uncertainty Xiang Gao, MIT Download PDF (1005.97 KB)
11:45 am	Arctic Ocean Primary Production in the Next Decades: What are the Projections? Paul Wassmann, University of Tromso Download PDF (5.03 MB)
12:00 pm	Futures of Arctic Marine Transport by 2030: An Explorative Scenario Approach Marc Mueller-Stoffels, University of Alaska Fairbanks Download PDF (367.48 KB)
12:15 pm	A Three-way Connection: The Arctic Express and Its Feedbacks to Global Environmental Change Øystein Kristiansen, University of Oslo Download PDF (669.58 KB)
12:30 pm	Discussion Presentation PDF Not Available
12:45 pm	Session Adjourns Presentation PDF Not Available

2.5. Responses to Arctic Change

9:35 am	Welcome Presentation PDF Not Available
9:40 am	Biodiversity Mapping: Merging Traditional Ecosystem Knowledge and Western Science Caleb Pungowiyi, Oceana, Inc. Download PDF (1.7 MB)
10:00 am	High Resilience in the Yamal-Nenets Social-Ecological System, West Siberian Arctic, Russia Bruce C. Forbes, University of Lapland Download PDF (2.37 MB)
10:15 am	Marine Mammals and Sea Ice Loss: Convergence of Ecological and Evolutionary Time Brendan P. Kelly, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Download PDF (3.08 MB)
10:30 am	Northern Places: A Circumpolar Human-dimensions Data Framework Lawrence Hamilton, University of New Hampshire Download PDF (1.78 MB)
10:45 am	BREAK Presentation PDF Not Available
11:20 am	Experimental Increases of Temperature and Snow Depth in the High and Low Arctic Alter the Magnitudes and Patterns of Ecosystem CO2 Exchange Jeff Welker, University of Alaska Anchorage Download PDF (7.87 MB)
11:35 am	A Comprehensive Analysis of Ship-mediated Invasion Risk in the Canadian Arctic Farrah T. Chan, University of Windsor Download PDF (1.17 MB)
11:50 am	Formation and Melting of 'Alien' Arctic Sea Ice Robert Newton, Columbia University Download PDF (2.43 MB)
12:05 pm	Discussion Presentation PDF Not Available
12:45 pm	Session Adjourns Presentation PDF Not Available

National Science Foundation	National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration	International Arctic Systems for Observing the Atmosphere
Study of Environmental Arctic Change	Arctic System Science Program	US Arctic Research Commission
North Slope Science Initiative	International Arctic Science Committee	Arctic Ocean Sciences Board
Alaska Ocean Observing System	Department of Energy	National Aeronautics and Space Administration
WWF	Association of Polar Early Career Scientists	Bureau of Land Management
International Study of Arctic Change	ArcticNet	Developing Arctic Modeling and Observing Capabilities for Long-term Environmental Studies

This work is supported by the National Science Foundation (NSF) under the ARCUS Cooperative Agreement ARC-0618885. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed do not necessarily reflect the views of the NSF.